ࡱ>   -e( (F/ 0|DTimes New Romantt$0 0DWingdingsRomantt$0 0  DImpactgsRomantt$0 0 "0DMonotype Sortstt$0 0G@DArialpe Sortstt$0 0 B .  @n?" dd@  @@``_>*whoosh.wav.WAV 10103RIFFWAVEfmt ++data~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~|||~~~~~zvtvxz|~zvrnlrv||vtrpptz~|xvtv|~~zxvvvz|~xrlhntzzvrrpprrx~|j[QU_|bICCYn[ICY~zlnh]_r|]SUSSjz|x__l~v_]drnUb|nfd_]d]5=rrnj]jz~lMldrx[[_f|YQfWK_xh[zx[CIjzxxdSQz|_fI9WӹM;QnvK;OUx~xj]]YS~ɵlM?plM;CGpٵ[)Kh|% %;xtKQS]ɖbGr|lSnvz~nfS[nëx;Az=+AYݻ|=/1r_ ?|潄W5/Czãf)/pvbMQr|O=OtjdhjlG?G_ɊK3לdQCMppW;1SŷAMz/#?bx͖SAM[hvhYp~~zrvt[]ptWOUtxxd]v~vvxzd_xzh_nrSQltbdp~_lrQ_l][tf]W]~hWfp|fWhnhbU[hzlSCWbYbnxpdhjvjM9Ot]GQ[dpp~hhhdpx~xh]Yntnrp]dlvjQMb|vdjpzxzztljr||_[r~~jb_j|z|xpp~~v]Wh||zx|x|zzndhpxr]Yfntzjl|z||~vppnrzphrxz|~|xtrjjtv~~vz|z||xrrv~xrprtz|||vzxvx|xtx~~~~~~~zxxxx|zxz~~~rrz~|xz~~|vtx|zxz|~~~||zx|||~~zz|zz~~~~|~~||~~||zz|~||z~~~~zxzz|~~~~|~~~|~||~~~~~~~~~~~~~|||~~~~~~~~~~~~~||~~||~||~~~~|||~~~~||||~~~~~~||||~~~~~~~~~~~|~~~~|zz~~~~~~~||||~~||~~~~~|||~~~~~|||~|~|~~~~|z|~~~~~~~|||~~~~~~~~||~~~~~~~~ dY0    ( !$%&,)+ #/ *"-. 0' AA1?@8? uʚ;5ʚ;g4TdTdHq 0ppp@ <4!d!d@k 0t0<4dddd@k 0t0<4BdBd@k 0t00___PPT10 pp|___PPT9^zJ02&!('(? %&T /Methodist Conference Presentation March 2005$0%6 $%   "Trends that are changing our lives##XThese Trends are:H  Local Regional National Global& Z66 &  LTechnology Internet Transport Energy Communications Artificial Intelligence 2LZZL$ L  9Money Nationalism Politics Health Genes/genetics Weather$:0( $9   *Demographics Wealth Living Business Work++,*  /Geographical Education Competition Government ,//00/   Demographics  Birthrates falling People living longer People healthier and fitter longer 9.5m pensioners 1.6m less people in the 25-34 year age group by 2010( *# Demographics  A third of the population by45+ (40% by 2010) Number of people between 50 and 64 set to increase substantially in the next 10 years  (( 0)Wealth  The Salary Stakes Mid point for earnings is 22000 a year (half earned more and half earned less) Those on better incomes are in the top quarter -over 31000 a year The top 10% of earners earn more than 43000 a year Those on less than 12000 are in the bottom 10% Z(Z(ZZZ(((1* The Salary Stakes Those on the minimum wage for 40hrs a week get around 10000 a year Those on state pension credit - 105 per week- are on about half the minimum wage Those on the basic pension(79.60) it is lower still >( Wealth 58% economically active Two wages needed Full time paid work does not guarantee a living wage Inheritance give choice to some 396000 pensioners (out of 9.5m) have a collective wealth of 215b 5m pensioners are likely to be means testedZ$ +$Wealth 27.5m people are economically inactive A third of people aged 50-64 are not in work 5.2m don t want a job Just getting by  means testing Pension crisis "Z( Living fBeing Alive  longevity with quality Down Ageing  Acting 30 at 50 Cashing Out  quality of life, down sizing Cocooning - sheltering ourselves 24 X 7 Lives  too busy for living Fantasy Adventure  thrills and chills Anchoring  lines of hope Clicking  Trends that will change our Lives - Faith Popcorn 4       = 3 70"Trends that are Changing our lives##* Getting bored, choosey and difficult * Want something new, exciting * Want to do things that make them feel better * Globalisation *  It must fit me world * Wider choice * Tailor-made consumerism Find out more through the  Tomorrow Report www.tomorrowproject.net \  b,l e   s    Living The Experience Economy New Words Shoppertainment Eatertainment Escapatainment Edutainment  life transforming experiences {ZZZ$ $$ $$ $$ $$ $$$2! , 1  Business UConsumer driven business Price sensitive Manufactured goods cheaper 24 X 7 businessesVV V  uAlliances 95% of businesses employ less than 50 people Internet development 80% of businesses in the services sector 0vZm  t  Business QRunning out of workers People choose not to work Competition for people Location RR$Q  XSkill shortages Need for flexibility in the workforce Need to keep people working longerYY$X 82 Customisers    * Collaborative  dialogue with each customer to help them choose exactly what they want * Adaptive  products and services designed for users to alter themselves * Cosmetic  presenting a standard product or service differently to different customers * Transparent  watch customers without letting them know and provide a customised product or service u bZZK A [Z2V     Work 4More people in work than ever before Jobs will increase by 1m in the next 6 years Two  thirds of our new doctors come from abroad and so do 50% of nurses$ 8 Headline News  Job losses 2  ~ call centre jobs go to India  manufacturing in decline  last lace factory closes  bus driver shortage  Work  till 70  visa rules relaxed  big skill shortages  stress problems at work ZZZZZZZZ2   What was it like in the past? Task Jobs not a part of nature Industrialisation packaged work into jobs Pre 1800  a task ( a single piece of work) To do a job was to do temporary work Pre 1800 never a role or position Job-brokering, job-lot,job-coachman,job-gardener,job-work No regular employmentfu%#:u%#:2   The Old Economies (Agriculture Village Craft Manufacturing ))P( The Old Economies Working for wages created in the cities a kind of poverty never seen before People protested and fought back  dark satanic mills No variety of tasks and location The need to work for a wage to purchase everything one needed$m_ The Newer Economies `Service -stopped making now servicing 80% of jobs now in the service economy Knowledge WisdomT G (` The Late Great Job ,What is disappearing is the job itself Organisations are de-jobbing Conditions that created jobs (mass production and large businesses) disappearing Businesses are unbundling and outsourcing No need for repetitive work Customising is a priority Different work patterns Different rules of engagement &,ZZ-N'      E   When the work that needs doing changes constantly, we can t afford the inflexibility the job brings with it  nZn<m   The way we earn money` The 21st Century Worker$ A return to the old way In and out of work No jobs  but work to be done No organisation chart,regular duties, hours and salaries More hiring More accountability Rewards for getting work done than having a job Rewards for innovation and creativeness A life long learnerZ2L     Geographical   *Return to city centre living -1800 units since 1988 -1000 under construction -1400 with planning permission Reverse of city centre working  in ten years more driving out of the city to work than driving in lPZZ" dZlPZZ]N  t   -& Geographical   Riverside Masterplan Eastside Masterplan Southern Masterplan Nottingham Station Masterplan City Centre development Broadmarsh -Westfields development <lP             !            '! Education    10% of residents are full time students (England average 3.1%) Young people encouraged to stay in education University and College city Fit for work? Keeping skills in the city Housing students causes housing problems for others Z(llC  Competition  Cities in competition for people and skills Cities will encourage  people inward investment Creating a city that people want to live, work and play in Global economy Competition for inward investment Countries competing for work (jobs are not exported) LlP  Government  *Community Local Regional National European$+Z"< B*   Life in 2020  h Modern trends take their toll on almost everything 5Z5H4 4- NOTTINGHAM Wages are lower than average 50% of households with children receive benefit 2.2 people per household Growth in single person households (23%) 44% of 16+ have never married "Z((   NOTTINGHAM 19% of people change address in previous year 50% of homes have an owner occupier 15% of people in Nottingham are from non-white ethnic groups ^((  $ NOTTINGHAM The City of Nottingham has acute income deprivation Whilst unemployment is a major cause of poverty, low pay is another significant factor City average under 5k is 15.7%: under 10k is 36% Half the City tenants are on benefit and/or in arrears (Z ,% NOTTINGHAM 12500 pensioners claimed and received housing benefit Across the city 1 in 3 of all deaths occur before the age of 65 The principal concern of householders is the threat of burglaries Nottinghamshire will have a further 45000 jobs by the end of the decade 2  9 % NOTTINGHAM In the City two-thirds of all households have income levels below the national average 15 wards have one-third of households in receipt of housing and/or council tax benefit 12000 children in the city are in low wage households 5. Life in 2020  h Modern trends take their toll on almost everything 5Z5H4 ! The Challenge  'Living with something that is different((B' .' QPeople Learn What They Live If people live with criticism - They learn to condemn If people live with hostility - They learn to fight If people live with ridicule - They learn to be shy If people live with shame - They learn to feel guilty If people live with tolerance - They learn to be patient8" dZ260" dZ2 &a110^ %\ '  a            ^   \#/( If people live with approval - They learn self- esteem If people live with acceptance and belonging They learn to find the best in themselves and others Dorothy Law-Nolte  " d2(" d2+Zk W .> `?     )" #Trends that are changing our lives "$#X3, /Methodist Conference Presentation March 2005$0%6 $%  d  0` f3Eh` ff` MMMwww` ff3f3>?" dd@,?nKd@  d @nK` d n?" dd@   @@``@n?" dd@  @@``PR    @ ` ` p>> % p h   (  T 1  "1  S BC1DEF ?Z B 0Z @1  S BB C DEF?rA r @\   S B+ C DEF?v*  v @   S BCIDEF??H\ @ I  N䢍gֳgֳ ?"  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f3Eh%%___PPT10%.+38D%' 6 = @B D$' = @BA?%,( < +O%,( < +D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*D' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*)%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*)D' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*)D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*)D%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*)DD' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*)DD{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*DV%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*DVD' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*DVD{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<* %(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<* D' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<* D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<* 7%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<* 7D' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<* 7D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*7L%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*7LD' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*7LD{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*Lu%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*LuD' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*Lu+p+0+0 ++0+0 +$  0 f^P(  r  S $@      S A    <$D 0     S B   p <$D 0   H  0޽h ? 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f3Eh)*!*___PPT10*.+WZD)' ` = @B D\)' = @BA?%,( < +O%,( < +D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*`%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*`D' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*`D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*`Z%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*`ZD' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*`ZD{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*`Zf%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*`ZfD' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*`ZfD{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*`f%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*`fD' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*`fD{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*`%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*`D' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*`D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*`%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*`D' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*`D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*` %(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*` D' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*` D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*` %(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*` D' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*` D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*`u%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w/2BCB#ppt_xB*Y3>B ppt_x<*`uD' =+4 8?\CB#ppt_yBCB#ppt_yB*Y3>B ppt_y<*`u+8+0+`0 +5  0 pV(  r  S `n      c $`o   <$D 0   H  0޽h ? f3Eh___PPT10.+WZD' s = @B DJ' = @BA?%,( < +O%,( < +D{' =%(D#' =%(D' =A@BBBB0B%(D' =1:Bvisible*o3>+B#style.visibility<*%%(D' =+4 8?dCB0-#ppt_w